Friday, January 30, 2026

Record-low snowpack

While the long-suffering people in the eastern half of America reel from the impact of the massive storm that just passed through (and now, apparently, a nor'easter is bearing down on the Carolinas), those of us living in the west are uneasy. Here it is the end of January, and – except for the barest dusting a couple days ago – we've had NO snow.

Since October of 2004, I've keep a "weather diary" in which I record (briefly) the day's high and low temperatures, any notable weather (rain, wind, snow), and a brief synopsis of our activities. In looking back at this document, the last time we had any precipitation was January 2. The rest of the month, we've been bone-dry.

And people are getting edgy.

Yesterday I caught a news story entitled "Western states face 'snow drought' as snowpack hits record lows." The subtitle notes, "Despite the recent winter storm, Colorado, Utah and other Western states are severely lacking in mountain snow. Scientists are concerned about the water supply and wildfire risk."

And that's what is making everyone nervous.

Here's a USDA chart of the snowpack levels in the western U.S.:

"While it’s not unusual to have some basins lower than historical averages," notes the article, "it's rare to have nearly every region of the West facing snowfall deficits." After the atmospheric river that hit the northwest in late 2025 ran its course, "the spigot of moisture largely shut off in the Northwest."

Further, "The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center expects dry conditions for much of the West for the next two weeks, with temperatures remaining above average for the next month. [Philip Mote, a professor at Oregon State University's College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences], said some areas west of the Cascade crest – which runs up the spine of Washington and Oregon – could recover if a few big storms come later this winter or in spring. But, he said, 'for Eastern Washington and most of Idaho, the story's already kind of been written and it's just unlikely to change.'"

Translation: Those of us in the Inland Northwest must prepare for an explosive wildfire season.

Don and I are already doing this. We're making contingency plans for rapid evacuation and home safety. Thankfully, a few years ago we participated in a county brush-clearing program to remove "ladder" brush from an overgrown portion of our property. And since getting cows, of course, our property has remained trimmed down.

But that doesn't mean we're out of danger. We're looking into a gel fire suppression system to protect the house and barn. We have our 1500-gallon roof runoff system which can be used for emergency water. We intend to have our go-bags packed and ready. We'll have a list posted on the refrigerator of things to do and pack in advance of an evacuation so we don't panic and forget something critical. We have important documents (i.e. birth certificates, etc.) in a file, ready to grab. We'll make sure to have pet supplies and equipment (food, carriers, cages, leashes, etc.) ready to go.

Even this early in the season, we're taking some preliminary steps. We're burning off some accumulated shop waste. We're photographing, documenting, and inventorying everything for insurance purposes.

It's not a pleasant thing to think about the possibility of losing our homestead, but we'd rather be prepared for the worst even as we pray for the best.

12 comments:

  1. We also live in the INland NE and have been praying for snow and today got rain. We have had a little more than you since we have gotten about 12 inches total this season. Normal is between 5-7 foot. So yeah we are a tad short. People keep saying but we get a lot in Feb usually but there is a stationary high pressure area across the whole northern Pacific ocean, just google blob in the pacific and it comes up. The fact that it is not moving at all means it is not natural. It was in the same place back, in 14 I think ,when we had a really bad fire season. It has hubby and me concerned also. We plan on burning our slash piles left from when we had trees taken down last year. Small, controllable fires to be sure. But we also have this in the back of our minds as we go about daily life. If we get a really wet Spring we might make it through, but I have put it all in God's hands. We did and are doing what we can to prepare and adding it to my list of things I lay at God's feet daily. Not much more we can do.

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  2. We live on the coast of OR. and it's the same dry weather here. It's making us nervous as well.

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  3. We are watching the weather reports in No. Cal near Tahoe. Our above average accumulation is rapidly disappearing. The warm crisp days are wonderful for exercise, but drying for skin. Our insurance has offered that gel substance to our area also. Our house and property is low risk, but the greenbelt around us and our neighbors trees are a concern. I trust the Lord. If we lose it all, He will provide and teach us along the way to trust Him more. Most everything is replaceable and that we can't replace would end up in the dustbin generations from now anyway. Depression babies have clung to their stuff and later generations have been quick to toss it away. I don't think anyone would want much of what we have. It is valuable to some extent, to us, but it is just stuff in the end. God uses these times to draw us closer and rely on Him more. Give it all to Him. He will provide for all our needs.

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  4. Sending prayers from Australia Patrice. May God continue to watch over you and protect you. Jenny

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  5. Dear Anonymous at 7:03 a.m....you don't know how much your comment helped me. My life is "on fire" in a different way and I will possibly lose my physical space and many of my belongings. God had you word this in just a way I needed to hear. Thank you. Good Bless all of you as you deal with these issues. And Patrice.

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    1. Thank you, Anonymous at 4:29. It brought tears to my eyes that God would use the words He put on my heart to help you.
      Real faith comes with skinned up knees. Life is full of troubles even when you are doing the best that you can. It took me a long time to figure out that I was trying to be God in my life and my family's lives. I tied myself in knots trying to bandage and salve, and kiss and sweet talk everyone's problems away so they wouldn't hurt like me. It occurred to me at some point I was trying to attain the "happily ever after" that I dreamed about when I read fairy tales as a child. I thought accepting Jesus and repenting would make everything work out better or even perfect. I have to be very careful to not get caught up in entertainment of any sort with happy endings because I will tend to sour on real life. It does my heart good to help others, but before I get puffed up I have to give credit to Jesus. It is Him showing Himself through me. I'm a tool in His hand.
      I read through the Bible many years ago looking for answers, like I would find step by step instructions, like a recipe. I didn't find it. I was somewhat sullen to not feel all better. One time, I heard a Christian woman's testimony on Focus On The Family and she said it helped her to journal through her Bible studies. I scoffed and said I'll never do that! Well, guess what. A few months later, at the end of my rope again and at a youth group service with our kids, they handed out these cheap little journals. I took that as prompting from the Lord. Journaling has changed my faith walk, my Bible reading comprehension, my commitment to read daily, and my understanding of why God gave us His manual to study. I read now as if I am with Jesus, sitting at His feet, or lamenting with the Israelites in slavery afraid to trust Moses, or with David in his struggles. David knew God was with him and life was hard. That is why he cries out the way he does in the Psalms. Then the next day he is fleeing for his life or fighting battles and losing men. Then as king he makes so many mistakes and sins...he was human just like me and you and all of us. He was a man after God's own heart and we must do the same, every moment.
      One last thing. It made a monumental change in studying the Bible to read it chronologically, for me. Everything ties together so much better. I use a reading plan from Biblestudytools.com. It is very helpful to read everything written in the same time period, same kings, prophets, comparing and contrasting the accounts in the Gospels, Paul in Acts at the same time as I read his letters to the churches, etc to keep it straight in my easily distracted, tired brain.
      I will pray for you my friend!
      W. in CA

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    2. I'm thankful to be the tool in the Lord's hands to write what He put on my heart yesterday.

      2 Corinthians 1:3-5
      Blessed be the God and Father of our Lord Jesus Christ, the Father of mercies and God of all comfort, who comforts us in all our affliction, so that we may be able to comfort those who are in any affliction, with the comfort with which we ourselves are comforted by God. For as we share abundantly in Christ’s sufferings, so through Christ we share abundantly in comfort too.

      Sit at the feet of Jesus and lean on Him. He is listening to your heart and He knows your needs.
      I pray for you my friend.
      W. in CA

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  6. On Monday and Tuesday we drove from central California home to north Idaho. There was shockingly no snow anywhere but the tops of the highest mountains. As much as I fear slipping on ice and hitting my head, like you did Patrice, I am scared for the summer season as well. Thank you for sharing your evac plans. We have let things slip for the last couple of years but will now buff our plans up. Thank you for the reminder.

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  7. Fear is not from God. And He can help. We need to cast our cares on Him because He cares for us.

    I took the dog out for a walk a short while ago, and the air is thick with smoke. And here in Alabama we're also having high winds.
    We have a lot of wildfires here in the south, and some of them are pretty significant. I don't know if they make national news like those out west and northwest, but draught has often had a lot to do with fires. Also, fires create their own wind and added to regular wind it's pretty devastating.
    One thing I have to give credit to is the plethora of small rural fire departments with locals training and volunteering that do an excellent job fighting fires and aren't paid for their work. But many if not most of them have a vested interest in caring for this problem because they probably also own rural land where they volunteer.
    My guess about the current smoke is that someone is burning off debris from harvesting timber before replanting. If so, their place must be pretty flat. Some of our hills are pretty awesome, because the foothills of Appalachia actually descend down into central Alabama. But it's unusual for people to burn in the hills. There are a lot of timber trails from logging and fire trucks do use them if they need to get in and fight a wildfire. But especially with the multitude of bad storms we have, most downed trees and debris often just stay put and rot, so burning isn't always a good option. Too much debris.

    Anyway, I don't like all this smoke, and it might not even be close. Who knows. But I don't think it's good for burning to happen when wind is so high like right now.
    I'm praying for y'all to get your cold and snow back where it belongs with those of you who want it. We've only had extreme cold for a weekend and I'm ready to have a meltdown!

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  8. Sure, we've had some unusual weather this winter in NW Montana; high winds and heavy rain; we even had a number of bridges and roads wash out. But the weather has always been fickle. The problem isn't so much the weather itself, but our damaged ecosystems. Flooding isn't entirely a function of rainfall. Fires aren't entirely a function of snowpack. We used to have millions of beavers, but their population dropped precipitously with the fur trade in the 1800s and early 1900s. Without all of those beaver dams, the stream banks have eroded, the wetlands have been lost, and all of that water just drains from the mountains, causing flooding in the spring, and leaving the land dry by summer. This has resulted in an increased intensity of wildfires. Furthermore, without those wetlands to act as natural fuel breaks, firefighters have fewer chances for containment. And that is just one species.

    Creation is broken because we didn't follow directions. I once heard a Rabbi tell a story about a woman who was so excited to have a bird nest on her balcony; she didn't want the eggs, but she took them anyways to fulfill the mitzvah - לֹא־תִקַּח הָאֵם עַל־הַבָּנִים (See Deuteronomy 22:6-7). Of course, that was not the point of the commandment. It's a principle. Preserve the best plants and animals as your breeding stock. Don't shoot the trophy buck. Don't select cut the best trees, or worse, clear cut all of the trees in the forest. Otherwise, the weak will breed and the population will become weaker and weaker. Is it any wonder that the whitetails are now succumbing to blue tongue and chronic wasting disease? Is it any wonder that the forests are succumbing to boring beetles and fungal diseases, and then, burning in massive forest fires as all of that dead wood feeds the conflagration? How many natural disasters could have been prevented or mitigated if we still had intact ecosystems? There are no trivial commandments. If a commandment seems trivial to you, it’s just because you aren’t looking at it the right way. The commandments are wisdom and love. All of them.

    - montanagoose

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    1. We have plenty of beavers and whitetails in the south. Daddy used to say" Look! It's a beaver dam! Then they dammed up some creeks and streams and swamped out a good portion of farmable land. He fought and fought the beavers, and wound up saying D...beavers instead of beaver dam!

      They've swamped me out too and destroyed a bridge with a dam, which led to a neighbor's pasture being ruined for his cows. I had to have the dam busted up by somebody with the right equipment, and the bridge replaced. I'd like to send out beavers back to ya'll s ecosystems!

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  9. I love how you and your husband look ahead and make contingency plans!

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