I checked our weather report at about 12:10 pm this afternoon and was startled to see this dramatic prediction:
Holy cow, half an inch of rain within the span of about an hour! Chaos! Batten down the hatches! Alert the media!
Fortunately we did none of that. Instead I checked the identical weather report about ten minutes later and saw this:
Yawn, ho hum. Another magic evaporating rain prediction.
(Of course, the joke is on me if the original prediction actually comes to pass....)
UPDATE: Whelp ... I stand corrected. A massive storm cell is, even as I write this, right overhead and dropping furious rain on us. Lightning is flashing and thunder is echoing.
We scrambled to get the cows under cover before it hit. I'm grateful we have barn space enough for everyone.
By the time it passes, it could easily total out to half an inch. I would like to formally apologize to the weather people for doubting their prediction.
The weather reports are always wrong now, even from the NWS. It literally changes from hour to hour, can never go by it at all anymore.
ReplyDeleteThe storm just hit north of CdA, it is pretty intense!!
ReplyDeleteIf you give them credit for being right it will undoubtedly go to their heads and effect predictions going forward.
ReplyDeleteIf I could send advice back to myself after graduating high school in 1970, I would tell younger me to get a degree in meteorology and establish a career as a weather forecaster. Not only would I experience unimaginable advances in technology (satellites, computers, etc.) but I would never be fired for being wrong!
ReplyDeleteIt's like the weather forecasters don't understand the concept of a forecast. It doesn't help to change the "forecast" once the weather has already started changing, then it's just reporting the weather. I frequently see things like "high today of 79, current temperature 82" or 5% chance of precipitation change to 85% ten minutes after the rain starts.
ReplyDeleteI usually check the NWS website every morning to see what the forecast says for the day. 4 times in the past 2 weeks it has said that the current weather outside was raining, overcast and at least 10 degrees colder than it actually was; when in fact the sky was perfectly clear and we haven't had any rain at all in weeks. Their temperature and wind predictions are always wrong as well now. I don't know if it's because of the budget cuts the government did or if AI is doing the forecasts, but man you cannot go by them at all anymore. We even had a random severe thunderstorm warning a few days ago that was supposed to have 60-70mph wind gusts, heavy rain and hail, and it never happened, sky was perfectly clear in every direction and no rain or high winds. I just assume that every day will end up being super windy and much hotter than they say it will.
ReplyDeleteWeather and baseball are the only places you're a star if you're right 50% of the time.
ReplyDeleteJonathan
Glad you got some rain to keep the pastures green! We got 2.64 inches of rain in the past 24 hours. We're going to get some serious rain in the next two days, though.
ReplyDelete